An equation told traders exactly what a financial bet on the future should cost

Before 1973, options contracts were priced mostly by gut feel, with no agreed way to say what a bet on a future stock price was actually worth. Fischer Black and Myron Scholes, building on work with Robert Merton, derived a formula that calculated a fair price from just five inputs, transforming options trading from a niche gamble into a mainstream, mathematically grounded market almost overnight.

— Fischer Black and Myron Scholes, The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities — Journal of Political Economy, 1973

One credited idea per card. No filler. Swipe the rest in Savvy.

Keep swiping — it's free Works right in your browser. No app store needed.

More Economics

All Economics cards →

Five ideas worth knowing, every week

The week's best cards and a puzzle, credited as always. Free, unsubscribe any time.