Economists named an era of calm just before it violently ended

From the mid-1980s to 2007, inflation, output and recessions in the US and other rich economies became dramatically less volatile — a stretch economists nicknamed the 'Great Moderation' and partly credited to better central banking. It ended abruptly with the 2008 financial crisis, which reopened the debate over whether the calm had masked rising risk all along.

— James H. Stock and Mark W. Watson, Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? — NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 2002

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