Psychology

Adding detail to a story makes it feel more likely, not less

Told that Linda is a philosophy graduate outspoken about social justice, most people rated 'bank teller and active feminist' as more likely than 'bank teller' alone — even though adding a condition can only lower or hold probability, never raise it. Tversky and Kahneman called this the conjunction fallacy: a vivid, specific detail feels truer than a bare statistical fact.

Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman, Extensional versus Intuitive Reasoning: The Conjunction Fallacy in Probability Judgment — Psychological Review, 1983

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